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A computer programmer in the US costs IBM $56 an hour; a programmer in India or China would be about $12.50. What would you do? Outsource your jobs offshore or not? Forrester Research now says it expects that 830,000 U.S. service jobs will move to low-wage countries such as China , India , and Mexico by the end of 2005.

Forrester's well-cited projection of 3.3 million US services jobs moving offshore by 2015 will increase slightly to 3.4 million.

By the end of 2003, 315,000 jobs had been shifted offshore, representing less than 1 percent of the jobs in the affected categories. This number will grow to 1.6 percent by the end of 2005.

Forrester finds several additional factors driving the short-term increase, including:

  • Existing offshore clients ramp up. While 5 percent of Fortune 1,000 firms are full exploiters of offshoring (using it whenever possible), it is the firms that have experimented with small projects that will become more committed, fueling most of the growth. These firms will increase spending during their migration offshore as they put processes in place to manage the remote IT and business operations.
  • New services from top-tier offshore vendors. Leading Indian suppliers, such as Satyam, Wipro, and Infosys, are expanding their services beyond application maintenance into business process outsourcing (BPO), packaged application implementation, and remote monitoring and administration of infrastructure, allowing them to capture a greater percentage of IT services' spend.
  • Expanded offshore capabilities from US-based vendors. Customer and competitive pressure have caused services and technology vendors like IBM and Accenture to expand operations in India, China, and the Philippines. These two companies alone plan to add close to 9,000 jobs in India by the end of 2005.
  • Offshore has become a BPO requirement. Access to low-cost offshore labor, a primary driver for IT, has become one for BPO as well. Prospects are demanding an offshore component for BPO from even onshore vendors, which led to IBM's recent acquisition of Daksh in India .
  • Firms setting up captive operations. Many firms are trying to achieve offshore cost savings themselves with "captive" operations in places like India. Sending back-office jobs like accounting and claims processing offshore will yield near-term savings - without the need for a third party or waiting for vendors to ramp up skills.
  • New verticals enter second wave. Following the IT-intensive industries already dabbling in offshoring, verticals like electronics and manufacturing that spend a high percentage of IT revenue will be the next to make the move.

Advantage India:

  1. Talent-rich country
  2. Exports software to 95 countries around the world
  3. Enjoys the confidence of global corporations
  4. State-of-the-art technologies for total solutions
  5. IT is a major thrust area for the Government of India
  6. Stable government
  7. One of the world's 10 fastest-growing economies
  8. Significant cost saving
  9. Large pool of computer literate and English speaking professionals
  10. Quality standards meet the approval of the world.

Below are six key provisions that any outsourcing agreement should have to help mitigate unavoidable problems when they occur.

  1. Protect Your Intellectual Property Rights
  2. Ensure Data Privacy
  3. Require Consent for Subcontracting
  4. Include an Exit Strategy
  5. Properly Address Dispute Resolution
  6. Indemnification



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